All Things Techie With Huge, Unstructured, Intuitive Leaps
Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts

The Nate Silver of Rugby and Bitcoin


Gotta say that I scored a fairly big one in the predictions department with my RugbyMetrics.  I did a running analysis of how the teams were playing, scoring and defense stats and came up with a regression formula.  In the latest fixtures of the Aviva Premiership, Bath the number three team was playing the Saracens.  My analysis showed that the Sarries would triumph over Bath by a score of  23-16.  I tweeted that prediction a day before.

On game day, the Saracens did prevail with a score of 23-10.  That is an amazingly accurate prediction and my regression formula warrants a trip to the bookie shop.

On another tack, in a previous post, I put up a video (done by someone else) saying that BitCoin was in a bubble.  Well, Mt. Gox failed a few days later.  I predicted a Super Bowl win for the Seattle Sea Hawks earlier this year and they upset the Broncos big time.

  I should start backing my predictions with money.