The Nate Silver of Rugby and Bitcoin
Gotta say that I scored a fairly big one in the predictions department with my RugbyMetrics. I did a running analysis of how the teams were playing, scoring and defense stats and came up with a regression formula. In the latest fixtures of the Aviva Premiership, Bath the number three team was playing the Saracens. My analysis showed that the Sarries would triumph over Bath by a score of 23-16. I tweeted that prediction a day before.
On game day, the Saracens did prevail with a score of 23-10. That is an amazingly accurate prediction and my regression formula warrants a trip to the bookie shop.
On another tack, in a previous post, I put up a video (done by someone else) saying that BitCoin was in a bubble. Well, Mt. Gox failed a few days later. I predicted a Super Bowl win for the Seattle Sea Hawks earlier this year and they upset the Broncos big time.
I should start backing my predictions with money.